Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 1176.765551 1335.216637 1510.692753 1720.052658 1963.838194 2239.698914 2576.824074
2025-10-05 942.649211 1161.655623 1428.720189 1781.311208 2238.958837 2818.878648 3618.960117
2025-10-12 809.234011 1051.301032 1365.459709 1808.995236 2428.671306 3278.240538 4556.707619
2025-10-19 716.369511 970.326691 1316.702397 1833.059311 2599.681218 3722.697829 5543.807451
2025-10-26 645.723477 905.905674 1276.030707 1854.201931 2759.336663 4165.479871 6605.157473
2025-11-02 597.753041 865.460142 1261.045804 1905.976201 2966.452223 4707.474704 7930.122074
2025-11-09 548.766797 816.459764 1225.302557 1917.343502 3106.060900 5157.193637 9185.825532
2025-11-16 506.208187 771.811086 1189.754150 1921.871005 3231.138927 5597.841874 10515.555263
2025-11-23 472.681402 737.378287 1165.737767 1940.880537 3381.621665 6106.022724 12089.388396
2025-11-30 445.829038 710.697842 1150.897733 1972.643013 3558.072774 6691.195624 13961.286490
2025-12-07 408.659485 663.034408 1095.104192 1922.641401 3569.595383 6947.203341 15160.834149
2025-12-14 375.794613 619.696315 1042.403447 1871.579577 3570.555443 7179.272721 16358.271740
2025-12-21 343.443818 575.409898 985.447972 1808.958621 3545.894612 7367.425790 17541.637617
2025-12-28 331.475096 566.490438 992.343527 1873.493652 3801.899109 8241.545853 20787.742130
2026-01-04 316.095344 549.805898 982.750810 1902.874224 3985.069488 8982.151060 23909.335093
2026-01-11 301.670284 533.523110 972.118948 1928.393477 4163.270476 9748.189172 27371.539988
2026-01-18 288.173270 517.764423 960.830318 1950.818612 4337.666835 10542.614363 31215.188066
2026-01-25 279.117150 509.749548 964.132657 2005.743505 4600.801295 11636.648813 36494.279332
2026-02-01 266.559932 493.748586 949.468868 2017.804459 4757.528748 12468.902929 41197.149276
2026-02-08 254.350528 477.445444 932.617533 2022.608428 4896.271478 13282.350106 46189.707025
2026-02-15 244.405815 464.956871 922.708784 2042.779930 5080.369018 14281.396428 52401.635113
2026-02-22 236.256059 455.527879 918.536133 2076.488117 5308.626448 15482.003621 60092.231660
2026-03-01 221.991604 432.182538 881.573223 2023.425879 5278.419300 15817.482002 64030.766642